Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.278842 0.376226 0.484069 0.610243 0.751939 0.904535 1.079772
2025-07-20 0.158587 0.285020 0.443168 0.644918 0.886944 1.161156 1.489251
2025-07-27 0.114521 0.256131 0.448657 0.707070 1.028068 1.400877 1.855443
2025-08-03 0.077820 0.224236 0.441482 0.747204 1.138607 1.602566 2.176829
2025-08-10 0.045129 0.184212 0.413663 0.753272 1.201303 1.742800 2.422382
2025-08-17 0.015877 0.129903 0.353060 0.706717 1.191068 1.790117 2.553996
2025-08-24 0.001918 0.084903 0.294412 0.653931 1.166106 1.814306 2.653645
2025-08-31 NaN 0.060167 0.262975 0.635616 1.183072 1.887865 2.810644
2025-09-07 NaN 0.046956 0.249852 0.642980 1.233452 2.002688 3.017442
2025-09-14 NaN 0.033124 0.229743 0.636256 1.262387 2.088796 3.187870
2025-09-21 NaN 0.020434 0.205194 0.618712 1.273842 2.150817 3.327242
2025-09-28 NaN 0.018482 0.211532 0.654620 1.362532 2.314068 3.593685
2025-10-05 NaN 0.017085 0.220620 0.698163 1.466602 2.503078 3.899818
2025-10-12 NaN 0.014899 0.226139 0.735704 1.562901 2.683326 4.196984
2025-10-19 NaN 0.016589 0.247291 0.802138 1.701998 2.920304 4.565757
2025-10-26 NaN 0.015294 0.255761 0.845030 1.806270 3.111259 4.876670
2025-11-02 NaN 0.010324 0.245238 0.851497 1.855788 3.229084 5.094815
2025-11-09 NaN 0.002914 0.207419 0.801782 1.818591 3.229489 5.162655
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000035 0.169450 0.745289 1.767409 3.208585 5.201307
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.150778 0.725656 1.771442 3.261207 5.332953
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.144930 0.733552 1.818722 3.373036 5.541060
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.133205 0.726342 1.841051 3.450001 5.703700
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.117655 0.707518 1.843403 3.498553 5.828899